Index
Module 2 • Research Methods
Research Design, Biostatistics & Literature Evaluation
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Research Design, Biostatistics & Literature Evaluation
Julie E. Farrar ~2 min read Module 2 of 20
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Research Design, Biostatistics, and Literature Evaluation

2Kaplan-Meier method

Describes the impact of a single predictor variable on the time-to-event between cohorts

Compares the survival times between two cohorts while controlling for a singular predictor variable

Survival curves are typically analyzed using the log-rank test.

d.Results typically reported as hazard ratio with 95% CI
3

Cox proportional hazards model

Describes the impact of several predictor variables on the time-to-event

Compares the survival times between two cohorts while controlling for several predictor variables

Results typically reported as hazard ratio with 95% CI

M.Determining Predictive Ability (Figure 4)
1

Sensitivity: Probability of identifying a true positive from a group that is known to be positive

Avoiding false negatives

Example: Proportion of people with disease correctly identified as having the disease through

laboratory assay

2Specificity: Probability of identifying a true negative from a group that is known to be negative

Avoiding false positives

3

Positive predictive value (PPV): Probability of identifying a true positive from a group that may or may

not be positive

Avoiding false positives

Example: Proportion of people with positive laboratory assay result who actually have the disease

4

Negative predictive value (NPV): Probability of identifying a true negative from a group that may or

may not be negative

Avoiding false negatives

A

A + C

Sensitivity =

x 100

D

B + D

Specificity =

x 100

A

A + B

PPV =

x 100

D

C + D

NPV =

x 100

Has disease or outcome

Does not have disease or outcome

Positive

A

B

Negative

C

D

Figure 4. Equations for determining predictive ability.

NPV = negative predictive value; PPV = positive predictive value.

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